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American Eagle Q2 FY2026 Earnings: A $196M Tariff Refund Inside a $211M Quarter

Published 20 min readMike ThriftMike Thrift
American Eagle Q2 FY2026 Earnings: A $196M Tariff Refund Inside a $211M Quarter
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Results at a glance

Period
FY2026Q2
Revenue
$1.4B (1,380.375 MUSD)
Net income
$133.7M (133.685 MUSD)
Net margin
9.7%

From the American Eagle Outfitters Open LedgerView the live ledgerIssuer filing (FY2026Q2)

American Eagle Outfitters reported operating income of $211.4 million for the quarter ended August 1, 2026, against $103.1 million a year earlier. Its Form 10-Q also says the quarter includes $195.7 million of refunds for tariffs the company had already paid. After the incentive pay those refunds triggered, the filing puts the net benefit at $161 million. Take that out and operating income is about $50 million, roughly half of last year's. Revenue rose 8% to $1.38 billion and Aerie grew 25%, so the business is not shrinking. But the profit that doubled is mostly money that will not come again, and a second, quieter line shows the company gave $52 million of it away before it arrived.

Every second-quarter figure below is from the Form 10-Q that American Eagle Outfitters filed on September 10, 2026, the day after its earnings release. The company names a fiscal year for the calendar year it starts in: fiscal 2026 runs to January 30, 2027, and the second quarter is the 13 weeks from May 3 to August 1, 2026. The filings report in thousands of dollars. The ledger keeps every thousand, and the tables here show millions to one decimal.

The Headline Numbers​

MetricQ2 FY2026Q2 FY2025YoY
Net revenue$1,380.4M$1,283.7M+7.5%
Total comparable sales+6%−1%n/a
Cost of sales$708.3M$783.7M−9.6%
Gross profit$672.1M$500.0M+34.4%
Gross margin48.7%38.9%+980 bp
Selling, general and administrative expenses$408.4M$342.2M+19.3%
Depreciation and amortization expense$52.3M$54.7M−4.3%
Operating income$211.4M$103.1M+105.1%
Interest expense, net$47.1M$1.9Mn/m
Other income (loss), net$13.8M($0.6M)n/m
Provision for income taxes$44.4M$23.7M+87.2%
Net income$133.7M$76.8M+74.0%
Net income attributable to AEO$134.1M$77.6M+72.7%
Diluted earnings per share$0.79$0.45+75.6%
Operating income less the $161M net refund benefit (our subtraction)$50.4M$103.1M−51.1%

Read the first and third rows together. Revenue rose by $96.7 million and cost of sales fell by $75.4 million. A retailer that sells more clothing does not usually spend less to buy it. Note 2 of the 10-Q explains the difference: "the Company has received $189.3 million of these refunds, or $195.7 million including interest, of which $191.9 million was recognized as a reduction of cost of sales and $3.8 million was recognized as a reduction of SG&A expenses."

Two more rows need a note. Interest expense went from $1.9 million to $47.1 million, and the company carries almost no debt. That is the second half of the refund story, covered below. And the last row is not a figure the company reports. The 10-Q says operating income "includes $161 million of net tariff refunds ($196 million of tariff refunds, including interest, partially offset by $35 million of incremental incentive expense attributable to the gain recognized as a result of the tariff refunds received)." The subtraction is ours. The 10-Q also says diluted earnings per share of $0.79 "includes a $0.52 per share benefit from net tariff refunds."

Revenue Deep Dive​

Segment net revenueQ2 FY2026Q2 FY2025Change
American Eagle$805.9M$800.4M+0.7%
Aerie$535.8M$429.1M+24.9%
Other$38.7M$61.5M−37.1%
Intersegment eliminationsnil($7.3M)n/a
Total net revenue$1,380.4M$1,283.7M+7.5%

Aerie is the growth. Revenue rose $106.7 million and comparable sales rose 19%. The 10-Q says the increase "was driven by performance across channels, including increased transactions as well as a low double digit increase in AUR," where AUR is average unit retail price. More transactions at higher prices is the strongest kind of retail growth, and it is in the filing, not only the release. Aerie is now 38.8% of revenue, up from 33.4% a year ago.

American Eagle, the larger brand, grew $5.5 million. Comparable sales fell 1%. The 10-Q says the revenue increase "was driven by strength in the digital channel, offsetting a decline in store revenue." Across the company, digital revenue rose 20% and store revenue rose 1%.

Other holds the Todd Snyder and Unsubscribed brands and, until recently, the logistics business Quiet Platforms. The 10-Q attributes the decline to "planned decreased revenue from Quiet Platforms due to completion of its operational wind-down."

The release describes the quarter as "the broad-based momentum of Aerie and OFFLINE, alongside encouraging progress at American Eagle," and notes "the fourth consecutive quarter of growth in men's." The 10-Q's overview is more guarded. It credits "the strength of the Aerie brand" and places it against "headwinds from ongoing macro-economic challenges and global inflationary pressures impacting consumer spending behavior." Neither document says demand exceeds supply, that supply is tight, that the industry is in an upcycle, or that a launch is running ahead of plan. The demand language is about one brand.

One balance-sheet line tests it. Merchandise inventory is $817.9 million, 13.9% above a year ago, on revenue growth of 7.5%. The release says inventory at cost was "up 14%, with units up 9%," that the cost increase "includes the impact of incremental tariffs this year," and that unit plans "will continue to be rebalanced between brands and categories for the remainder of the year." Units growing faster than sales, with a rebalancing still to do, is not what a supply-constrained retailer looks like.

The Margin Story​

Because the 10-Q prints each refund amount and names the line it reduced, the quarter can be laid out both ways. The first column is as filed. The second adds back only the two refund amounts. It is our arithmetic, not a figure the company reports, and it leaves the related incentive pay where the company booked it.

Q2 FY2026As filedBefore the $195.7M of refundsQ2 FY2025
Total net revenue$1,380.4M$1,380.4M$1,283.7M
Cost of sales$708.3M$900.2M$783.7M
Gross profit$672.1M$480.2M$500.0M
Gross margin48.7%34.8%38.9%
Selling, general and administrative expenses$408.4M$412.2M$342.2M
Depreciation and amortization expense$52.3M$52.3M$54.7M
Operating income$211.4M$15.7M$103.1M
Operating margin15.3%1.1%8.0%

The middle column is too harsh, and it is worth saying why. The company paid $35 million of extra incentive compensation because the refunds raised its results: $13 million of it in gross profit and $22 million in selling, general and administrative expenses, by the 10-Q's count. That pay would not exist without the refunds. The fair view removes both, which is the company's $161 million net figure and the $50.4 million in the headline table.

Either way the direction is the same. Before refunds, gross profit fell on higher revenue. The 10-Q says merchandise margin "deleveraged 330 basis points, with margin rate improvement in Aerie offset by promotional activity in American Eagle." That is the pricing story in one sentence. Aerie is realizing higher prices. American Eagle is discounting. For the company as a whole the filing reports only "a low-single digit increase in average unit retail price," and for the American Eagle brand over 26 weeks it reports a "slight decline in average unit retail price" and "increased markdowns."

Selling, general and administrative expenses rose $66.1 million. The 10-Q names the two drivers: a $36 million increase in compensation, of which $22 million is the refund incentive, and "a $25 million increase in planned investments in advertising." The expense rate is 29.6% of revenue against 26.7% a year ago.

By segment, the same split shows up in operating income.

Segment operating incomeQ2 FY2026Of which refunds, per the 10-QQ2 FY2025
American Eagle$188.5M$121M$138.2M
Aerie$170.2M$67M$74.6M
Other($2.4M)n/a($10.1M)
General corporate expenses($144.8M)n/a($99.6M)
Total operating income$211.4M$196M$103.1M

The two segment figures are the refunds the 10-Q places in each segment's gross profit, and they sum to $188 million; the filing does not allocate the remaining $8 million of the $196 million to any segment. American Eagle's segment profit rose 36%. Without its $121 million of refunds it would be about $67 million, half of last year's $138.2 million. Aerie's would be about $103 million without its $67 million, still 38% above last year. General corporate expenses rose $45.2 million, and the 10-Q says that was "primarily the result of $35 million of incremental incentive expense."

The One Big Question: What Did the Refund Actually Leave Behind?​

The refund is real cash. The 10-Q says operating cash flow for the 26 weeks "includes $195.7 million of tariff refunds, including interest." It also says the company "had paid approximately $192 million of IEEPA tariffs" before those tariffs were struck down in February 2026, that it submitted claims for $189.8 million, and that it has received $189.3 million of them. So the item is essentially complete. Three things reduce what the company keeps.

The first is the incentive pay, $35 million, already described.

The second is a sale the company made before it knew how the matter would end. From Note 2: "During Fiscal 2025, prior to the U.S. Supreme Court decision invalidating the IEEPA tariffs, the Company entered into a participation agreement with a third-party buyer." The buyer "purchased $68.9 million of the Company's $192 million IEEPA tariff refund claims" for "$18.6 million in cash." That is 27 cents on the dollar for a little over a third of the claims. The company accounted for the cash as debt. When the refunds arrived, it owed the buyer the full amount: "$70.8 million was paid to the buyer during the 13 weeks ended August 1, 2026."

The difference between $18.6 million received and $70.8 million paid is $52.2 million, and the 10-Q records exactly that as accretion expense "related to the Participation Agreement," $44.7 million of it in the second quarter. It sits in interest expense, below operating income. This is why interest expense is $47.1 million at a company whose only borrowing is $55 million on a credit line. It is also why the headline operating income overstates the refund's benefit. The whole $195.7 million lifts operating income, and the $44.7 million that went to the buyer comes out one line lower.

What the refunds left in Q2 FY2026 pre-tax incomeUSD millions
Refunds including interest, in cost of sales191.9
Refunds, in selling, general and administrative expenses3.8
Incentive compensation attributable to the refunds (10-Q, whole millions)(35)
Accretion expense on the sold claims, in interest expense(44.7)
Left in pre-tax income (our arithmetic)about 116

About $116 million of the quarter's $178.1 million of pre-tax income traces to the refunds after those two costs. The table is built from four amounts the 10-Q prints. The total is ours.

The third thing is guidance. In May, the first-quarter release guided to second-quarter operating income of "$45 to $50 million" and full-year operating income of "$390 to $410 million," and said that guidance "excludes any impact from International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) tariff refunds." The second quarter, less the $161 million net benefit, came in at about $50 million, the top of that range. The company then raised the full-year figure to "$540 to $550 million, inclusive of net tariff refund benefit." Subtract the same $161 million and the range is $379 million to $389 million. That is our subtraction, and it sits below the $390 million to $410 million the company reiterated three months earlier. The headline guidance went up by about $145 million. The business underneath it went down by $11 million to $21 million.

Dollar Tree received its refunds in the same quarter, and the two filings handle them differently. The Dollar Tree figures are from our analysis of its second quarter.

Second quarter of fiscal 2026American Eagle OutfittersDollar Tree
Operating income$211.4M$690.1M
Refunds in cost of sales$191.9M$368.7M
Refunds in selling, general and administrative expenses$3.8Mnone stated
Interest received on the refundsinside the amounts above$14M, in other income
Refunds in operating income as a share of operating income93%53%
Refund claims sold in advance$68.9M for $18.6Mnone stated

American Eagle Outfitters is the more exposed of the two by a wide margin. Nine-tenths of its operating income for the quarter is refund. It also booked the government's interest inside the same two lines as the refund itself, where Dollar Tree put the interest in other income. That matters for anyone comparing gross margins across retailers this quarter: the two numbers are not built the same way.

Tracking a $5.5 Billion Retailer in Plain Text​

Double-entry bookkeeping does not let a one-off hide inside a total. Every posting has to be accounted for, so a refund either gets its own line or visibly stays inside another one. The conventions are in how we model every company. In Beancount, income is negative (a credit) and expenses are positive (a debit), so a refund that reduces an expense appears as a negative posting on an expense account.

This is the second quarter as it sits in the ledger:

; Check: −1,380.375 + 900.211 + −191.9 + 412.154 + −3.8 + 52.305 + 2.425 + 44.7 + −13.771 + 44.366 + 133.685 = 0 ✓
2026-08-01 * "American Eagle Outfitters, Inc." "FY2026Q2 Income Statement"
  Income:Revenue                            -1380.375 MUSD  ; total net revenue
  Expenses:CostOfRevenue                      900.211 MUSD  ; cost of sales before the tariff refunds below (filed cost of sales 708.311)
  Expenses:CostOfRevenue                       -191.9 MUSD  ; IEEPA tariff refunds, including interest, recognized as a reduction of cost of sales (Note 2 'U.S. Tariff Update': $191.9 million) — named one-off, a credit
  Expenses:SellingGeneralAdministrative       412.154 MUSD  ; selling, general and administrative expenses before the tariff refunds below (filed SG&A 408.354)
  Expenses:SellingGeneralAdministrative          -3.8 MUSD  ; IEEPA tariff refunds recognized as a reduction of SG&A expenses (Note 2: $3.8 million) — named one-off, a credit
  Expenses:DepreciationAndAmortization         52.305 MUSD  ; depreciation and amortization expense — the filing's own line
  Expenses:OtherNet                             2.425 MUSD  ; interest expense, net, other than the accretion below (filed interest expense, net 47.125)
  Expenses:OtherNet                              44.7 MUSD  ; accretion expense on the Participation Agreement for sold tariff refund claims, recorded within interest expense, net (Note 2: $44.7 million) — named one-off
  Expenses:OtherNet                           -13.771 MUSD  ; other (income), net — the filing's own line (a credit)
  Expenses:IncomeTax                           44.366 MUSD  ; provision for income taxes
  Equity:Adjustments                          133.685 MUSD  ; net income offset: net income attributable to AEO 134.084 less net loss attributable to non-controlling interests 0.399 (retained earnings set by balance assertion)

Three lines are split, and each split uses an amount the 10-Q prints and a caption it names. The two Expenses:CostOfRevenue postings sum to the filed 708.311. The two Expenses:SellingGeneralAdministrative postings sum to the filed 408.354. The accretion and the posting above it sum to the filed interest expense of 47.125. The refund amounts carry one decimal because that is how the filing prints them; everything else carries three.

Two things are deliberately not split. The interest the government paid on the refunds has no caption of its own in the filing, so it stays inside the two refund postings. And the $35 million of incentive pay is given only in whole millions against lines printed to the thousand, so it stays inside cost of sales and selling, general and administrative expenses, and a comment in the ledger says so. A ledger records what a filing states.

The balance sheet carries a longer story about a business the company bought and then closed:

2022-01-29 balance Assets:NonCurrent:Goodwill                      271.416 MUSD  ; goodwill, net
2022-01-29 balance Assets:NonCurrent:IntangibleAssets              102.701 MUSD  ; intangible assets, net
2026-08-01 balance Assets:NonCurrent:Goodwill                      225.181 MUSD  ; goodwill, net
2026-08-01 balance Assets:NonCurrent:IntangibleAssets               35.974 MUSD  ; intangible assets, net

Goodwill was $13.3 million a year before the first line. It rose to $271.4 million in fiscal 2021, when the company spent $358.1 million on what its 10-K calls "the acquisition of businesses related to Quiet Platforms." In fiscal 2023 the company wrote down $39.6 million of goodwill and $40.5 million of intangible assets on Quiet Platforms, and in fiscal 2025 it decided, in the 10-K's words, "to close the Quiet Platforms business and discontinue services for all third-party customers." Goodwill and intangible assets together are $113.0 million lower than at the start of the ledger. Most of what remains is goodwill from those deals that the company assigned to its American Eagle and Aerie units.

Open American Eagle Outfitters Financial Ledger FY2021–FY2026 Q2 in a new tab

The Multi-Year Arc​

The ledger records each year as the company last presented it. The fiscal 2025 10-K began showing non-controlling interests separately and reclassified fiscal 2023 and fiscal 2024 to match, so net income in those years is the consolidated figure and differs slightly from the amount attributable to AEO.

Fiscal year (ended)Total net revenueGross marginSG&A rateImpairment, restructuring and other chargesOperating incomeOperating marginNet income
FY2021 (Jan 29, 2022)$5,010.8M39.8%24.4%$11.9M$591.1M11.8%$419.6M
FY2022 (Jan 28, 2023)$4,989.8M35.0%25.4%$22.2M$247.0M5.0%$125.1M
FY2023 (Feb 3, 2024), 53 weeks$5,261.8M38.5%27.2%$141.7M$222.7M4.2%$169.1M
FY2024 (Feb 1, 2025)$5,328.7M39.2%26.9%$17.6M$427.3M8.0%$326.9M
FY2025 (Jan 31, 2026)$5,547.2M36.5%26.8%$101.6M$226.2M4.1%$185.5M

Revenue grew 10.7% in four years. Operating income fell 62%. Fiscal 2021 was the peak, and no year since has come within $160 million of it.

Two lines explain most of the distance. The selling, general and administrative expense rate rose from 24.4% to 26.8%, which at fiscal 2025 revenue is about $130 million a year. And the company booked $295.0 million of impairment and restructuring charges across the five years, in a line it prints above operating income every year. Of that, $182.4 million is Quiet Platforms: $3.8 million in fiscal 2022, $119.6 million in fiscal 2023 and $59.0 million in fiscal 2025. A charge that appears in five consecutive years is a cost of how the company has been run, whatever the caption says.

Gross margin moved more than it should for a business this size. It fell to 35.0% in fiscal 2022 and to 36.5% in fiscal 2025. The fiscal 2025 10-K attributes that year's decline to "increased promotional activity and $70 million of incremental tariffs, net of mitigation efforts," along with an inventory write-down in the first quarter. The company had paid about $192 million of the refunded tariffs by the time they were struck down, three weeks after that fiscal year ended. Seen across two years, the refund is at least partly the reversal of a cost that depressed fiscal 2025. It arrived in one quarter and makes that quarter look like a different company.

The Verdict: Bull vs. Bear​

Bull Case

  • Aerie grew revenue 24.9% and comparable sales 19%, on more transactions and a low double digit increase in average unit retail price. It is 38.8% of revenue and, without refunds, earned about $103 million of segment operating income against $74.6 million.
  • Digital revenue rose 20%.
  • The refund is $195.7 million of cash, already received. Operating cash flow for the 26 weeks was $116.3 million against a $26.9 million outflow a year earlier.
  • The balance sheet is light. Borrowings are $55 million against $203 million a year ago, and the buyer of the refund claims has been paid substantially all it was owed.
  • Quiet Platforms is wound down, so the largest source of the last five years' impairment charges is gone, and the quarter carries no impairment or restructuring charge.

Bear Case

  • Without the net refund benefit, operating income is about $50 million against $103.1 million. The release's "encouraging progress at American Eagle" sits beside a 1% comparable sales decline, more markdowns and a segment profit that halves without refunds.
  • Higher selling prices are an Aerie fact. For the company the 10-Q reports a low-single digit increase, and merchandise margin fell 330 basis points as a rate.
  • Inventory is up 13.9% on 7.5% revenue growth, with units up 9% and a rebalancing still ahead.
  • The full-year operating income outlook, less the $161 million, is $379 million to $389 million, below the $390 million to $410 million guided in May.
  • Without the $195.7 million of refunds, operating cash flow for the 26 weeks would have been an outflow of about $79 million by our subtraction, while capital expenditures ran $127.6 million.
  • The company sold $68.9 million of refund claims for $18.6 million and paid back $70.8 million. The hedge cost $52.2 million.

Our Take

American Eagle Outfitters has one brand that is growing fast at higher prices and one larger brand that is discounting to stand still. That was true before the refund and it is true after. The refund covers it for a quarter. The filing is candid about all of it: it prints the refund to the decimal, names both lines it reduced, counts the incentive pay it triggered, and discloses that a third of the claims were sold in advance at 27 cents on the dollar. Put those pieces in order and the $211.4 million quarter becomes roughly $50 million of operating income from the stores and websites, about $116 million of pre-tax refund after its costs, and a full-year outlook that slipped underneath a headline that rose. The quarter to watch is the third, guided to $110 million to $115 million of operating income, where Aerie's growth has to outrun American Eagle's markdowns with no refund in the result.

Source: https://beancount.io/blog/2026/10/07/american-eagle-outfitters-fy2026-q2-earnings-analysis

Published: October 7, 2026